Sea Levels Dynamical Downscaling and Climate Change Projections at the Uruguayan Coast
نویسندگان
چکیده
This work implements a dynamical downscaling approach, based on set of nested two-dimensional hydrodynamic models, to quantify the expected changes in total sea level climate and its components for Uruguayan coast, using surface wind pressure projections from global models generated during Phase 5 Coupled Models Inter-Comparison Project, considering three time horizons: historical period (1986-2005), short term (2027-2045) long (2082-2100), future scenarios RCP 4.5 8.5. It is concluded that main contribution projected area regional mean rise, followed importance by effect increase water depth has amplitude tidal components. Moreover, it meteorological residuals (or surges), associated with potential atmospheric circulation patterns, are negligible study area. The obtained results reinforce need resort dynamic projecting areas characterized wide shallow continental shelfs estuaries, as this approach allows resolve interactions may arise between tides, surges something cannot addressed an solely statistical downscaling.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Frontiers in Marine Science
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['2296-7745']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2022.846396